Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 1.038463 1.266199 1.509901 1.787903 2.094158 2.419323 2.788776
2024-10-06 0.722642 1.025264 1.375682 1.802044 2.298179 2.849673 3.501720
2024-10-13 0.552329 0.883672 1.290799 1.808737 2.433123 3.146875 4.010544
2024-10-20 0.411208 0.750102 1.193012 1.781328 2.513958 3.372355 4.431775
2024-10-27 0.369463 0.737749 1.239098 1.923195 2.791790 3.824134 5.112555
2024-11-03 0.329587 0.719786 1.272092 2.044498 3.042259 4.242931 5.755818
2024-11-10 0.295738 0.704095 1.303501 2.160437 3.284118 4.650732 6.386630
2024-11-17 0.267027 0.691143 1.335250 2.274566 3.522651 5.054579 7.013923
2024-11-24 0.225484 0.649064 1.319809 2.321146 3.672015 5.347434 7.506894
2024-12-01 0.181383 0.593434 1.278107 2.326897 3.764983 5.568173 7.910991
2024-12-08 0.131278 0.513689 1.190766 2.261751 3.759395 5.661703 8.156483
2024-12-15 0.091150 0.441334 1.106397 2.193891 3.744728 5.739635 8.379459
2024-12-22 0.063780 0.390334 1.056033 2.179230 3.809888 5.931269 8.760756
2024-12-29 0.047143 0.360189 1.038803 2.213471 3.943189 6.213285 9.259619
2025-01-05 0.031424 0.322710 1.002762 2.214633 4.027260 6.428959 9.673054
2025-01-12 0.017907 0.279929 0.950424 2.185923 4.066407 6.584175 10.009229
2025-01-19 0.017636 0.294894 1.013905 2.344992 4.375795 7.098663 10.806248
2025-01-26 0.016150 0.302955 1.063270 2.481514 4.653628 7.572582 11.553242
2025-02-02 0.014461 0.308930 1.108271 2.611291 4.922545 8.035856 12.288322
2025-02-09 0.012833 0.314183 1.151709 2.738877 5.189081 8.497119 13.022478
2025-02-16 0.008695 0.298973 1.150037 2.790840 5.345456 8.811544 13.568745
2025-02-23 0.004497 0.273234 1.122315 2.797259 5.434139 9.034772 13.997579
2025-03-02 0.000990 0.230843 1.050542 2.724559 5.403345 9.095221 14.214788